Portfolio Equity
Full portfolio balance from backtest start. Includes unrealized PnL from open positions. The highlighted region shows your currently selected time period.
Liquidity-aware curve (light blue)
The light-blue curve limits every position to 2% of its market's 30-day traded volume across the exchanges we execute on — the same limit live trading enforces. From the marked date (2024-07-16) onward, theoretical performance is limited by the traded volume of the smaller altcoins, not by the strategy. At today's volumes this limit starts to matter for portfolios above roughly $250k; the threshold moves with market volumes.
5 largest drawdowns (marked red in the chart)
- −24.3% 2022-11-05 → 2022-11-09 (recovered 2023-01-12)
- −19.1% 2020-03-02 → 2020-03-12 (recovered 2020-04-06)
- −17.8% 2026-05-10 → 2026-06-06 (recovered 2026-08-21)
- −14.7% 2021-05-20 → 2021-05-23 (recovered 2021-05-24)
- −12.7% 2022-05-06 → 2022-05-12 (recovered 2022-05-15)
5 largest intraday drawdowns (light red, measured against intraday lows)
- −30.2% 2020-03-02 → 2020-03-13 (recovered 2020-04-06)
- −30.0% 2021-05-20 → 2021-05-23 (recovered 2021-05-24)
- −29.2% 2022-11-05 → 2022-11-09 (recovered 2023-01-12)
- −26.0% 2021-05-18 → 2021-05-19 (recovered 2021-05-20)
- −25.4% 2024-04-08 → 2024-04-13 (recovered 2024-04-14)
Important: The performance figures shown are historical and provided for informational purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. These results do not constitute investment advice, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument.
Max Drawdown
Smart-HODL
3.66 3.66%
Lower drawdown pain, faster recoveries, and shorter time spent underwater.
vs
Multi-Asset Buy & Hold
4.57%
Deep, prolonged drawdowns that keep capital trapped for months or years.
Profit
Smart-HODL
-1.19%
-$97,407
Combined profit from 34 positions across 20 strategies ($242,338,698 deployed).
vs
Multi-Asset Buy & Hold
0.63 -0.63%
-$1,577
Multi-Asset Buy & Hold return since Nov 1, 2026 (portfolio was $248,349 at start).
One-time cost at purchase. No ongoing trading fees for holding.
Risk Acknowledgment
Cryptocurrency and digital asset trading carries a high level of risk, including the possible loss of all capital. You should carefully consider whether such trading is appropriate for your financial situation, experience, and risk tolerance. The software does not provide personalized investment, financial, tax, or legal advice and should not be relied upon as such.
Positions
| Date | Strategy | Entry Price | Close Price | Close Time | Qty | Status | PNL | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | Cosmos, DD | $2.261 | — | — | 2,228,599.05 | Open | -23.665% -$1,930,049.24 incl. -$7,558 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$5,039 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$2,519 Total (0.15%):-$7,558 | View |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Aave, DD | $203.78 | — | — | 10,536.1 | Open | -9.437% -$769,681.07 incl. -$3,221 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$2,147 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$1,074 Total (0.15%):-$3,221 | View |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Solana, DD | $145.42 | — | — | 14,775.55 | Open | -9.987% -$814,522.30 incl. -$3,223 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$2,149 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$1,074 Total (0.15%):-$3,223 | View |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Polkadot, DD | $2.619 | — | — | 1,378,053.4 | Open | -28.893% -$2,356,471.31 incl. -$5,414 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$3,609 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$1,805 Total (0.15%):-$5,414 | View |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Cardano, DD | $0.2772 | — | — | 31,547,922.5 | Open | -35.814% -$2,920,959.05 incl. -$13,117 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$8,745 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$4,372 Total (0.15%):-$13,117 | View |
| Mar 3, 2026 | PAX Gold, L | $4,567.99 | — | — | 10,472.728 | Open | -64.998% -$5,301,087.56 incl. -$71,759 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$47,839 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$23,920 Total (0.15%):-$71,759 | View |
| Oct 6, 2026 01:00 | Invesco QQQ (NASDAQ-100), L 1H | $758.75 | — | — | 49,496.89 | Open | -60.330% -$4,920,396.34 incl. -$56,334 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$37,556 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$18,778 Total (0.15%):-$56,334 | View |
| Oct 7, 2026 09:00 | Invesco QQQ (NASDAQ-100), L2 1H | $753.29 | — | — | 50,835.18 | Open | -58.556% -$4,775,728.47 incl. -$57,440 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$38,293 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$19,147 Total (0.15%):-$57,440 | View |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Solana, L | $111.07 | — | — | 247,729.15 | Open | -63.130% -$5,148,775.90 incl. -$41,274 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$27,516 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$13,758 Total (0.15%):-$41,274 | View |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Solana, L2 | $106.67 | — | — | 84,544.1 | Open | -16.975% -$1,384,409.64 incl. -$13,527 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$9,018 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$4,509 Total (0.15%):-$13,527 | View |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cosmos, L | $1.753 | — | — | 28,081,336 | Open | -123.309% -$10,056,853.11 incl. -$73,845 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$49,230 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$24,615 Total (0.15%):-$73,845 | View |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Aave, L | $138.07 | — | — | 231,619.7 | Open | -20.844% -$1,699,973.25 incl. -$47,969 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$31,980 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$15,990 Total (0.15%):-$47,969 | View |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Monero, L3 | $548.94 | — | — | 25,440.704 | Open | +19.388% +$1,581,283.88 incl. -$20,948 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$13,966 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$6,983 Total (0.15%):-$20,948 | View |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Polkadot, L | $1.008 | — | — | 33,176,998.45 | Open | -40.167% -$3,275,930.00 incl. -$50,156 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$33,437 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$16,719 Total (0.15%):-$50,156 | View |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Render, L | $1.668 | — | — | 23,258,434.635 | Open | -25.133% -$2,049,789.10 incl. -$58,197 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$38,798 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$19,399 Total (0.15%):-$58,197 | View |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Binance Coin, L | $712.14 | — | — | 34,755.14 | Open | -7.284% -$594,066.06 incl. -$37,126 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$24,751 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$12,375 Total (0.15%):-$37,126 | View |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Binance Coin, L2 | $709.22 | — | — | 17,314.975 | Open | -3.008% -$245,289.46 incl. -$18,420 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$12,280 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$6,140 Total (0.15%):-$18,420 | View |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Cardano, L | $0.1850 | — | — | 186,626,794.5 | Open | -0.847% -$69,051.91 incl. -$51,781 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$34,520 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$17,260 Total (0.15%):-$51,781 | View |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Bitcoin, L | $78,238.5 | $78,273.8 | Nov 1, 2026 | 206.706 | Closed | -0.109% -$8,868.65 incl. -$24,259 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$16,172 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$8,086 Total (0.15%):-$24,259 | View |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Bitcoin (USDC, short hedge), S | $77,962.6 | $78,593.3 | Nov 2, 2026 | 444.6302525 | Closed | -4.079% -$332,635.42 incl. -$51,997 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$34,665 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$17,332 Total (0.15%):-$51,997 | View |
| Oct 30, 2026 01:00 | Tron, L 1H | $0.35064 | — | — | 153,676,830.34999999 | Open | -61.440% -$5,010,940.41 incl. -$80,827 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$53,885 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$26,942 Total (0.15%):-$80,827 | View |
| Oct 30, 2026 05:00 | Tron, L2 1H | $0.33562 | — | — | 82,565,490.15000001 | Open | -17.809% -$1,452,492.10 incl. -$41,566 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$27,711 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$13,855 Total (0.15%):-$41,566 | View |
| Nov 2, 2026 06:00 | Hyperliquid, L 1H | $86.269 | $86.618 | Nov 2, 2026 08:00 | 108,760.405 | Closed | +0.350% +$28,555.17 incl. -$14,074 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$9,383 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$4,691 Total (0.15%):-$14,074 | View |
| Nov 2, 2026 17:00 | Hyperliquid, L 1H | $83.700 | $84.549 | Nov 2, 2026 21:00 | 112,266.985 | Closed | +1.053% +$85,892.91 incl. -$14,095 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$9,397 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$4,698 Total (0.15%):-$14,095 | View |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Bitcoin (USDC, short hedge), S | $76,791.3 | $77,664.4 | Nov 3, 2026 | 501.9462485 | Closed | -6.086% -$496,395.61 incl. -$57,818 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$38,545 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$19,273 Total (0.15%):-$57,818 | View |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Hyperliquid, DD | $76.703 | — | — | 20,936.075 | Open | +0.617% +$50,344.29 incl. -$2,409 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$1,606 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$803 Total (0.15%):-$2,409 | View |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Sui, L | $0.8567 | $0.8684 | Nov 6, 2026 | 23,850,445.125 | Closed | +3.171% +$258,612.46 incl. -$30,648 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$20,432 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$10,216 Total (0.15%):-$30,648 | View |
| Nov 5, 2026 14:00 | Chainlink, L 1H | $10.946 | $10.957 | Nov 6, 2026 15:00 | 2,203,463.455 | Closed | -0.009% -$741.54 incl. -$36,178 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$24,119 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$12,059 Total (0.15%):-$36,178 | View |
| Nov 5, 2026 14:00 | Bitcoin, L 1H | $77,619.4 | — | — | 466.179 | Open | -9.725% -$793,126.23 incl. -$54,277 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$36,185 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$18,092 Total (0.15%):-$54,277 | View |
| Nov 5, 2026 15:00 | Hyperliquid, L 1H | $77.953 | $79.246 | Nov 5, 2026 16:00 | 127,375.325 | Closed | +1.897% +$154,692.55 incl. -$14,894 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$9,929 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$4,965 Total (0.15%):-$14,894 | View |
| Nov 5, 2026 15:00 | Ripple, L 1H | $1.2410 | $1.2446 | Nov 5, 2026 15:00 | 12,885,713.85 | Closed | +0.375% +$30,581.63 incl. -$23,986 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$15,991 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$7,995 Total (0.15%):-$23,986 | View |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Dogecoin, L | $0.07248 | — | — | 221,400,731.5 | Open | +0.060% +$4,870.82 incl. -$24,070 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$16,047 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$8,023 Total (0.15%):-$24,070 | View |
| Nov 5, 2026 15:00 | Bitcoin, L2 1H | $75,592.1 | — | — | 237.994 | Open | +0.951% +$77,588.53 incl. -$26,986 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$17,990 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$8,995 Total (0.15%):-$26,986 | View |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Bitcoin (USDC, short hedge), S | $76,007.6 | — | — | 561.9978395 | Open | -1.227% -$100,035.62 incl. -$64,074 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$42,716 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$21,358 Total (0.15%):-$64,074 | View |
How is this calculated?
This shows the equity change compared to the start of the selected month. It includes both realized PnL (closed trades) and unrealized PnL (open positions at current market price).
For the current month, this value updates daily as market prices change — even without new trades.
For past months, the value is fixed based on the last daily equity snapshot of that month.
Legal Disclaimer
This page is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any financial instrument, and nothing herein constitutes financial, tax, legal, or investment advice. Your use of the software and interpretation of the data presented is at your own risk.
Legal Compliance
Users are responsible for determining whether use of this information is legal in their jurisdiction. This site does not provide legal, financial, or tax advice.
Portfolio Backtest Methodology
The portfolio view simulates all strategies trading together with shared capital — matching how live trading operates on one shared exchange balance.
Portfolio Simulation
- • Shared Equity: All strategies share one capital pool ($1,000 per strategy). When one strategy profits, all strategies get proportionally larger allocations.
- • Allocation Cap: Each strategy is limited to max 10% of portfolio equity per day, preventing any single strategy from dominating during bull markets.
- • Daily Rebalancing: Allocations are recalculated each day from the total portfolio cash, matching how the live executor distributes capital across strategies.
Costs & Realistic Modeling
- • Trading Fees: 0.05% taker fee per trade (Binance Futures VIP 0 level)
- • Slippage: 0% on L/L2 entries (limit-style fills) and 0.05% on exits — simulates real-world market impact (0.15% round-trip cost per trade)
- • Drawdown Tracking: Equity is tracked daily including unrealized PnL from open positions. Drawdowns reflect real underwater periods, not just realized losses.
- • Funding Rates: Excluded. Smart-HODL trades longs during dips when funding is typically neutral or negative (favorable for longs).
Data & Execution
- • Multi-Timeframe: Strategies use both daily (1D) and hourly (1H) candles for entry detection, matching the live executor behavior.
- • Data Source: Binance Futures USDT perpetual contracts. Spot market data used for warmup periods before futures listing.
- • Period: January 2020 to present (in-sample). Independently validated against 2017-2019 (out-of-sample) — see below. Each strategy activates when sufficient data becomes available for its asset.
- • Updated: Results are recalculated nightly with the latest market data.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Backtests are simulations and actual trading may differ due to market conditions, liquidity, and execution timing.
Out-of-Sample Validation (2017-2019)
A strategy that only works on the data it was tuned on is overfitted. To prove Smart-HODL is not overfitted to the 2020-present regime, we ran the exact same strategy parameters against an entirely independent window — 2017-01-01 to 2019-12-31 — that was never used during parameter tuning. This window is dominated by the 2018 bear market, when most crypto assets lost 75-90% of their value.
What this proves: The same parameters that produce strong returns in the 2020-present regime also stayed positive — and well above passive holding — in the worst bear market crypto has ever seen. The system is regime-aware, not regime-specific.
What it does not promise: Bear-market years will look like the 5% number, not the larger headline CAGR shown in bull-market backtests. A realistic long-run expectation blends both regimes. Live results will differ from any backtest due to slippage, latency, and exchange behavior under stress.
Honest tier: We classify Smart-HODL as a solid retail-quant strategy — top of the publicly available systematic-strategy bracket, but not institutional hedge-fund tier (e.g. Renaissance, Citadel, Two Sigma). Six years of crypto-cycle data is not a substitute for multi-decade, multi-regime institutional track records, and we size and communicate accordingly.
OOS data: Binance Spot 1D + 1H. Universe restricted to symbols listed before 2019-09 with ≥120 days warmup.