Portfolio Equity
Full portfolio balance from backtest start. Includes unrealized PnL from open positions. The highlighted region shows your currently selected time period.
Important: The performance figures shown are historical and provided for informational purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. These results do not constitute investment advice, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument.
Max Drawdown
Smart-HODL
0.01%
Lower drawdown pain, faster recoveries, and shorter time spent underwater.
vs
Multi-Asset Buy & Hold
0.00 0.00%
Deep, prolonged drawdowns that keep capital trapped for months or years.
Profit
Smart-HODL
+1.28%
+$735,833
Combined profit from 12 positions across 17 strategies ($5,413,420 deployed).
vs
Multi-Asset Buy & Hold
7.72 +7.72%
+$14,659
Multi-Asset Buy & Hold return since May 1, 2026 (portfolio was $189,801 at start).
One-time cost at purchase. No ongoing trading fees for holding.
Risk Acknowledgment
Cryptocurrency and digital asset trading carries a high level of risk, including the possible loss of all capital. You should carefully consider whether such trading is appropriate for your financial situation, experience, and risk tolerance. The software does not provide personalized investment, financial, tax, or legal advice and should not be relied upon as such.
Positions
| Date | Strategy | Entry Price | Close Price | Close Time | Qty | Status | PNL | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 23:00 | Solana, L 1H | $137.06 | — | — | 13,527.3 | Open | -1.186% -$684,002.04 incl. -$2,781 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$1,854 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$927 Total (0.15%):-$2,781 | View |
| Jan 18, 2026 23:00 | Chainlink, L 1H | $13.230 | — | — | 140,499.77 | Open | -0.829% -$478,366.59 incl. -$2,788 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$1,859 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$929 Total (0.15%):-$2,788 | View |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Sui, L | $1.1342 | — | — | 4,164,782.4 | Open | -1.176% -$678,509.69 incl. -$7,086 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$4,724 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$2,362 Total (0.15%):-$7,086 | View |
| Jan 19, 2026 00:00 | Solana, L2 1H | $111.60 | — | — | 16,068.35 | Open | -0.699% -$403,389.50 incl. -$2,690 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$1,793 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$897 Total (0.15%):-$2,690 | View |
| Jan 19, 2026 00:00 | Chainlink, L2 1H | $9.216 | — | — | 192,121.66 | Open | +0.203% +$117,023.61 incl. -$2,656 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$1,771 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$885 Total (0.15%):-$2,656 | View |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Binance Coin, L | $705.14 | — | — | 6,986.4 | Open | -0.883% -$509,496.87 incl. -$7,390 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$4,926 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$2,463 Total (0.15%):-$7,390 | View |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Binance Coin, L2 | $778.29 | — | — | 1,197.8 | Open | -0.303% -$174,979.91 incl. -$1,398 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$932 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$466 Total (0.15%):-$1,398 | View |
| Mar 3, 2026 | PAX Gold, L | $4,567.52 | — | — | 1,601.735 | Open | +0.103% +$59,401.52 incl. -$10,974 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$7,316 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$3,658 Total (0.15%):-$10,974 | View |
| May 4, 2026 10:00 | Zcash, L 1H | $399.19 | $408.99 | May 4, 2026 12:00 | 3,421.45 | Closed | +0.056% +$32,145.01 incl. -$2,049 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$1,366 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$683 Total (0.15%):-$2,049 | View |
| May 4, 2026 10:00 | Dogecoin, L 1H | $0.10891 | $0.11038 | May 4, 2026 11:00 | 9,517,297 | Closed | +0.022% +$12,912.53 incl. -$1,555 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$1,037 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$518 Total (0.15%):-$1,555 | View |
| May 4, 2026 10:00 | Bitcoin, L 1H | $78,425.7 | $78,776.7 | May 4, 2026 12:00 | 21.274 | Closed | +0.010% +$5,795.87 incl. -$2,503 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$1,668 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$834 Total (0.15%):-$2,503 | View |
| May 4, 2026 12:00 | Tron, L 1H | $0.33588 | $0.33907 | May 4, 2026 14:00 | 3,997,544.9 | Closed | +0.020% +$11,411.37 incl. -$2,014 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$1,343 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$671 Total (0.15%):-$2,014 | View |
How is this calculated?
This shows the equity change compared to the start of the selected month. It includes both realized PnL (closed trades) and unrealized PnL (open positions at current market price).
For the current month, this value updates daily as market prices change — even without new trades.
For past months, the value is fixed based on the last daily equity snapshot of that month.
Legal Disclaimer
This page is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any financial instrument, and nothing herein constitutes financial, tax, legal, or investment advice. Your use of the software and interpretation of the data presented is at your own risk.
Legal Compliance
Users are responsible for determining whether use of this information is legal in their jurisdiction. This site does not provide legal, financial, or tax advice.
Portfolio Backtest Methodology
The portfolio view simulates all strategies trading together with shared capital — matching how live trading operates on a single Binance account.
Portfolio Simulation
- • Shared Equity: All strategies share one capital pool ($1,000 per strategy). When one strategy profits, all strategies get proportionally larger allocations.
- • Allocation Cap: Each strategy is limited to max 10% of portfolio equity per day, preventing any single strategy from dominating during bull markets.
- • Daily Rebalancing: Allocations are recalculated each day from the total portfolio cash, matching how the live executor distributes capital across strategies.
Costs & Realistic Modeling
- • Trading Fees: 0.05% taker fee per trade (Binance Futures VIP 0 level)
- • Slippage: 0% on L/L2 entries (limit-style fills) and 0.05% on exits — simulates real-world market impact (0.15% round-trip cost per trade)
- • Drawdown Tracking: Equity is tracked daily including unrealized PnL from open positions. Drawdowns reflect real underwater periods, not just realized losses.
- • Funding Rates: Excluded. Smart-HODL trades longs during dips when funding is typically neutral or negative (favorable for longs).
Data & Execution
- • Multi-Timeframe: Strategies use both daily (1D) and hourly (1H) candles for entry detection, matching the live executor behavior.
- • Data Source: Binance Futures USDT perpetual contracts. Spot market data used for warmup periods before futures listing.
- • Period: January 2020 to present (in-sample). Independently validated against 2017-2019 (out-of-sample) — see below. Each strategy activates when sufficient data becomes available for its asset.
- • Updated: Results are recalculated nightly with the latest market data.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Backtests are simulations and actual trading may differ due to market conditions, liquidity, and execution timing.
Out-of-Sample Validation (2017-2019)
A strategy that only works on the data it was tuned on is overfitted. To prove Smart-HODL is not overfitted to the 2020-present regime, we ran the exact same strategy parameters against an entirely independent window — 2017-01-01 to 2019-12-31 — that was never used during parameter tuning. This window is dominated by the 2018 bear market, when most crypto assets lost 75-90% of their value.
What this proves: The same parameters that produce strong returns in the 2020-present regime also stayed positive — and well above passive holding — in the worst bear market crypto has ever seen. The system is regime-aware, not regime-specific.
What it does not promise: Bear-market years will look like the 8% number, not the larger headline CAGR shown in bull-market backtests. A realistic long-run expectation blends both regimes. Live results will differ from any backtest due to slippage, latency, and exchange behavior under stress.
Honest tier: We classify Smart-HODL as a solid retail-quant strategy — top of the publicly available systematic-strategy bracket, but not institutional hedge-fund tier (e.g. Renaissance, Citadel, Two Sigma). Six years of crypto-cycle data is not a substitute for multi-decade, multi-regime institutional track records, and we size and communicate accordingly.
OOS data: Binance Spot 1D + 1H. Universe restricted to symbols listed before 2019-09 with ≥120 days warmup.